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Shapiro looks like a 2028 powerhouse — with an asterisk

Shapiro looks like a 2028 powerhouse — with an asterisk

Summary

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro is widely viewed as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender, but strategists say his election record has not tested him against strong, well-funded opponents. In his bid for a second term, he holds a large fundraising and advertising advantage over Republican Stacy Garrity, renewing questions about how he would handle a competitive primary or general election.

Key Facts

  • Shapiro is running for a second four-year term as Pennsylvania governor against Republican Stacy Garrity.
  • Recent polls cited in the article show Shapiro on pace to beat Garrity by double digits.
  • Shapiro has spent $42 million on campaign ads, while Garrity has spent $3 million.
  • Campaign finance reports show Shapiro has raised $64 million this cycle and Garrity about $11 million.
  • The Republican Governors Association has not bought ads to support Garrity.
  • In 2022, Shapiro faced Republican Doug Mastriano, who spent about $2 million on ads; Shapiro and his allies spent $55 million.
  • Shapiro ran unopposed in the Democratic primary in both of his gubernatorial campaigns.
  • Shapiro's allies say his limited experience against strong opponents reflects his ability to deter capable challengers.
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