James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton—What Texas Polls Show One Week Before Midterm
Summary
Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are in a close race for a U.S. Senate seat in Texas one week before Election Day. Recent polls mostly show Talarico with a small lead, but the results fall within the polls’ margins of error.Key Facts
- Talarico is a Texas state representative, and Paxton is the state’s attorney general.
- Five of six public polls released over the previous week showed Talarico ahead; Fox News found the candidates tied at 49 percent each.
- The latest ActiVote survey showed Talarico leading 51 percent to 49 percent among 400 likely voters.
- The Cook Political Report survey showed the largest reported lead: Talarico at 49 percent and Paxton at 44 percent.
- Talarico led the RealClearPolitics polling average by 1.8 points, according to the article.
- More than 4.5 million Texans had voted early by midday Monday; analysts expected total turnout to reach about 10 million, compared with 8.1 million in 2022.
- No Democrat has won a Texas U.S. Senate race since Lloyd Bentsen in 1988.
- Donald Trump planned rallies in Lubbock and Waco on Tuesday, his third visit to Texas that month.
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