Iran’s calculations as US escalation looms: Trust, midterms, Hormuz
Summary
Iran is resisting a new ceasefire unless the United States lifts sanctions and its naval blockade, and provides guarantees against renewed attacks. Tehran sees control of the Strait of Hormuz as leverage, while regional governments and China are pursuing diplomacy to prevent further escalation in the US-Israel war on Iran.Key Facts
- China said it would send an envoy to countries in the region to help prevent another escalation.
- Officials from Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkiye met Iranian officials and agreed to continue talks on regional peace and security.
- Iran is seeking sanctions relief, an end to the US blockade of its Gulf ports and guarantees against renewed US attacks.
- Iran says it will help restore normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for those measures.
- Before the war, the Strait of Hormuz carried about one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments.
- The United States wants Iran to make further concessions, including on its nuclear programme, before negotiating a final peace settlement.
- The article says past ceasefire and diplomatic efforts broke down amid renewed attacks, strengthening Tehran’s demand for durable guarantees.
- Trump said he had not decided whether to reach a deal with Iran or intensify military action, and had said attacks would wait until after the November 3 US midterm elections.
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