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The Arab Vote Could Decide Netanyahu's Fate in Israel's Election

The Arab Vote Could Decide Netanyahu's Fate in Israel's Election

Summary

An exit poll projected a divided Israeli parliament, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc short of a majority and Arab-led parties potentially influential in government formation. The opposition could reach a majority with Arab-led parties, but cooperation faces political obstacles, and official results were not yet confirmed.

Key Facts

  • Channel 13’s exit poll projected 50 seats for Netanyahu’s bloc and 53 for the opposition bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot, below the 61 seats needed for a majority.
  • The Arab-led parties were projected to win 17 seats: 10 for the Joint List and seven for Ra’am.
  • The poll projected 25 seats for Likud, making it the largest individual party, and 23 for Eisenkot’s Yashar party.
  • The opposition bloc and Arab-led parties would together hold a projected 70 seats, but forming a government would require political cooperation.
  • Both principal candidates had ruled out governing with Arab-led parties, though outside support for a minority government remained a possibility.
  • Voter participation reached 55.7 percent by 4 p.m., compared with 47.5 percent at the same time in 2022.
  • Election authorities reported no evidence of systematic ballot tampering after Netanyahu alleged that the election was being stolen.
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