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Governor Races Shift Toward Democrats in States Trump Won by Double Digits

Governor Races Shift Toward Democrats in States Trump Won by Double Digits

Summary

The Cook Political Report moved the Kansas governor’s race from lean Republican to a toss-up and the Nebraska race from likely Republican to lean Republican, citing factors including polling and third-party candidates. The changes came one week before the midterm elections; Cook said Democrats could gain two to four governorships.

Key Facts

  • Donald Trump won Kansas in 2024 with 57.2% of the vote and Nebraska with 59.3%.
  • Republican Ty Masterson is running against Democrat Cindy Holscher in Kansas.
  • Cook cited the competitive Kansas Senate race and internal polling from Holscher as factors in its rating change.
  • Republican incumbent Jim Pillen is running against Democrat Lynne Walz in Nebraska.
  • Cook cited internal polling and third-party candidates Rick Beard and Brett Lindstrom among factors in its Nebraska rating change.
  • Masterson and Pillen have led in a majority of recent polls, according to the article.
  • Thirty-six governor’s offices are on the ballot, and the parties currently hold 18 each.
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