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Healey backs away from cutting welfare cost despite warnings of public finance shortfall

Healey backs away from cutting welfare cost despite warnings of public finance shortfall

Summary

Chancellor John Healey said he had not set a timetable for reducing welfare spending, despite earlier remarks that the benefits bill would fall. The Institute for Fiscal Studies estimated that the government needs an additional £28bn a year to account for inflation and meet its defence spending target, warning that current plans could lead to tight departmental budgets and possible real-term cuts.

Key Facts

  • The IFS said the government needs to set aside an additional £28bn a year to account for inflation and reach defence spending of 3% of GDP by 2030.
  • IFS director Helen Miller warned that some departments could face real-term budget cuts under a future spending review.
  • Healey said the government must bring down the benefits bill but later clarified that it had set no timetable for doing so.
  • The spending review will focus on departmental budgets and will not include the welfare bill.
  • Reviews led by Alan Milburn and Stephen Timms will examine employment support for young people and disability benefits.
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility forecast welfare spending would rise from £334bn last year to £431bn by 2030.
  • The OBR's overall welfare spending forecast has increased by £8bn since March.
  • Healey said Brexit had reduced UK growth and trade, but said he did not expect to see the UK rejoin the European Union in his lifetime.
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