Democrats Leading in Ballots As Early Voting Surges To Midterms Record
Summary
Nearly 49.6 million early votes had been cast by Friday evening, surpassing the 45.9 million recorded during the 2022 midterms. Among states that report voter-party data, registered Democrats accounted for a larger share of early votes than registered Republicans; polling and forecasts cited in the article also favored Democrats in the House and gave them an edge in the Senate.Key Facts
- The University of Florida’s Election Lab counted close to 22.9 million returned mail ballots and 26.8 million in-person early votes by Friday evening.
- The early-vote total exceeded the previous midterm record of 45.9 million, set in 2022.
- Among voters whose party registration was reported, 43 percent were registered Democrats, 32 percent Republicans, and 25 percent unaffiliated or registered with a smaller party.
- Only 27 states track early voting by party registration, so the party breakdown does not represent the full nationwide vote.
- Texas, California, and Florida recorded the most early votes, with 6.9 million, 5.1 million, and 4.7 million, respectively.
- An Associated Press analysis reported that early voting in Texas was 50 percent higher than in the 2022 elections; South Carolina’s early voting was up 83 percent.
- The article said the RealClearPolling generic congressional vote average showed Democrats leading by 8.2 percentage points.
- The article cited a forecast giving Democrats a 95 percent chance of winning the House and a 78 percent chance of taking the Senate.
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