Abdul El-Sayed's Black Voter Support Compared to Harris and Slotkin in 2024
Summary
A Data for Progress poll conducted October 23–25 found that 82 percent of Black likely voters supported Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, compared with 15 percent for Republican Mike Rogers. The article compares El-Sayed’s poll numbers with Black voter support for recent Democratic candidates and notes that the poll’s Black-voter subgroup was small; the figures are not election results.Key Facts
- The poll found 82 percent of Black likely voters supported El-Sayed and 15 percent supported Rogers.
- The poll’s Black-voter subgroup included 67 weighted respondents.
- CNN exit polling found that 87 percent of Black Michigan voters supported Kamala Harris in 2024.
- Exit polls put Black voter support for Elissa Slotkin at 85 percent in 2024, Joe Biden at 92 percent in 2020, and Gary Peters at 90 percent in 2020.
- The poll found 79 percent support for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jocelyn Benson among Black voters.
- Michigan’s 2025 population estimates put the state’s Black population at about 1.4 million, or 13.9 percent of residents.
- Black voters represented about 11 percent of Michigan’s electorate in 2024, according to exit polling.
- The article says Democrats needed a net gain of four Senate seats to regain control and that Gary Peters was retiring.
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