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Map Shows Senate Races Most Likely to Determine Control

Map Shows Senate Races Most Likely to Determine Control

Summary

The article identifies Senate races in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas as toss-ups that could determine control of the chamber. Republicans hold 53 seats and Democrats and allied independents hold 47; Democrats would need to flip four seats to gain a majority, while the article says they are also favored to win the open North Carolina seat.

Key Facts

  • The article lists Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas as toss-up Senate races.
  • Republicans hold six of the seven seats listed; Michigan is the exception.
  • Republicans hold 53 Senate seats, while Democrats and independents who caucus with them hold 47.
  • Democrats need to flip four seats to win a Senate majority, according to the article.
  • The Cook Political Report is cited as favoring Democrats in the seats they currently hold except Michigan, and as giving them an advantage in North Carolina.
  • Republican Senator Thom Tillis is retiring, leaving his North Carolina seat open.
  • A YouGov and Economist poll cited in the article put President Donald Trump’s approval at 39 percent and disapproval at 58 percent, for a net approval rating of minus 19 points.
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