Why Texas Dems are forecasting a "Hispanic hurricane" in midterms
Summary
Democrats in Texas say economic concerns and opposition to the Trump administration’s immigration policies could bring Hispanic voters back to their party in the 2026 midterms. Polls cited in the article show Democratic candidates leading among Hispanic voters in Texas, though Republicans say Democratic enthusiasm remains muted.Key Facts
- Hispanic Americans make up more than 30% of Texas’s eligible electorate.
- Pew Research Center estimates that about 39 million Hispanic Americans are eligible to vote nationwide, roughly 5.2 million more than in 2022.
- Pew’s analysis of validated voters found that Trump won about 48% of Hispanic voters in 2024, up from 36% in 2020.
- Exit polling cited in the article put Trump’s share of Texas Hispanic voters at about 55% in 2024.
- A poll cited in the article found Trump’s approval rating among Latino voters was 24% in early October; 57% of Latinos who voted for him in 2024 approved of his job performance.
- In an October CBS News poll, six in 10 Hispanic voters favored Democrat James Talarico over Republican Ken Paxton for Senate.
- The same poll found Hispanic voters favored Democrat Gina Hinojosa over Republican Gov. Greg Abbott by a similar margin.
- Trump cited Census Bureau figures showing Hispanic American poverty fell from 15.1% in 2024 to 13.9% in 2025.
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