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Sherrod Brown’s Chances of Beating Jon Husted: What Final Ohio Polls Show

Sherrod Brown’s Chances of Beating Jon Husted: What Final Ohio Polls Show

Summary

Final Ohio polls showed Democrat Sherrod Brown leading Republican Jon Husted, with polling averages putting Brown ahead by about three points. Individual surveys also favored Brown, though their margins of error leave the special election competitive.

Key Facts

  • Silver Bulletin’s November 3 average showed Brown at 48.4 percent and Husted at 45.4 percent.
  • RealClearPolling’s average showed Brown leading 48.5 percent to 45.7 percent.
  • AtlasIntel found Brown ahead 51 percent to 44 percent among likely voters surveyed from October 28 to November 1.
  • A New York Times/Siena College poll found Brown leading 49 percent to 44 percent.
  • A Suffolk University/USA Today Network survey found Brown ahead 47 percent to 44 percent; 4 percent of respondents were undecided.
  • A Fox News poll conducted October 15–19 showed Brown leading 52 percent to 47 percent.
  • The special election will fill the Senate term vacated by Vice President JD Vance through January 2029; polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on November 3.
  • Brown served in the Senate from 2007 to 2025, while Husted was appointed to the Senate in January 2025.
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