Gina Hinojosa’s Chances of Beating Greg Abbott—What Final Texas Polls Show
Summary
Final polls cited in the article showed Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa narrowly ahead of Republican Governor Greg Abbott, though other recent surveys had Abbott leading. The election was scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, and Texas had not elected a Democratic governor since Ann Richards in 1990.Key Facts
- The New York Times/Siena poll surveyed 1,215 likely voters from October 27 to November 1 and showed Hinojosa at 48% and Abbott at 47%.
- An AtlasIntel poll surveyed 1,678 likely voters from October 28 to November 1 and showed Hinojosa at 49% and Abbott at 48%.
- Earlier campaign polls in June and July had shown Abbott leading by about 6 or 7 percentage points.
- A Texas Southern University poll conducted October 21–25 showed Abbott ahead overall, while Hinojosa led among independent voters, women and adults aged 18–34.
- The Times/Siena poll showed Hinojosa ahead among women, adults aged 18–44, and Black, Hispanic and other non-white voters.
- Abbott has served as governor since 2015 and defeated Beto O’Rourke by 10.9 percentage points in 2022.
- Abbott has highlighted jobs growth and business investment; Hinojosa has proposed a postpartisan approach and said Texans should not bear higher energy bills linked to tech companies’ investments.
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