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Iran’s Real Fortification at Pickaxe Mountain Is Doubt

Iran’s Real Fortification at Pickaxe Mountain Is Doubt

Summary

The article says uncertainty about what Iran has built at Pickaxe Mountain could make any U.S. strike difficult to assess. Analysts cited in the article say the underground site’s depth and lack of inspections leave open whether centrifuges are there and whether a strike could disable them.

Key Facts

  • Donald Trump told Fox News host Sean Hannity that striking Pickaxe Mountain could be done within an hour and was “not a big deal.”
  • The article says the United States and Israel believe Iran moved thousands of centrifuges to the site after the June 2025 U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.
  • A leaked Defense Intelligence Agency assessment reportedly said the 2025 strikes set Iran’s nuclear program back by a few months; later public estimates varied.
  • The article says Iran’s stockpile of more than 400 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent has not been verified by inspectors.
  • The Center for Strategic and International Studies says it cannot confirm or rule out that centrifuges are inside Pickaxe Mountain.
  • The Institute for Science and International Security estimates the underground halls are at least 100 meters deep; the article says no public schematics have emerged and inspectors have not entered the site.
  • The article cites analysts who say the U.S. GBU-57 bunker-buster may need repeated hits at such depths, while collapsing entrances could delay access but not prevent rebuilding.
  • The article says there is no proof that use of a nuclear weapon is under consideration; it notes such a strike could cause radioactive fallout.
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