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Can Iran’s new supreme leader make peace from behind the scenes?

Can Iran’s new supreme leader make peace from behind the scenes?

Summary

Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has governed through written statements and decisions relayed by close officials, without appearing publicly or speaking in recordings. A series of October meetings with political, security and military leaders, held alongside regional diplomatic efforts, may signal that Iran is building a decision-making process as it weighs negotiations or renewed confrontation with the United States and Israel.

Key Facts

  • Mojtaba Khamenei succeeded his father in March, after being injured in the February 28 strike that killed Ali Khamenei.
  • According to sources quoted by Reuters, advisers urged Mojtaba Khamenei to avoid public appearances and audio recordings because he could be tracked.
  • The new leader has issued decrees, appointed officials and relied on a narrow circle of trusted figures to exercise power.
  • In August, Khamenei appointed Mohsen Rezaei as his representative on the Supreme National Security Council; Rezaei later became its secretary.
  • Iran appointed new military leaders, including Ali Abdollahi as Armed Forces General Staff chief and Ahmad Vahidi as IRGC commander.
  • Four meetings announced within 11 days in October included senior political, security and military officials.
  • At a meeting announced on October 31, military leaders reportedly briefed Khamenei on readiness in the Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz and the Sea of Oman.
  • Pakistan’s army chief Asim Munir carried a Qatari-Pakistani compromise proposal to Tehran on October 20; Arab media reports said it linked unannounced nuclear inspections to interest payments on Iranian funds frozen in Qatar.
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