Thanksgiving Weather: How Major Forecasts Compare Ahead of Holidays
Summary
Early outlooks suggest warmer-than-normal weather across much of the northern United States during the week of Thanksgiving, with possible rain in parts of the South. Forecasters say the outlook remains uncertain, especially in the South and Southeast, and a potential polar vortex disruption could change conditions before the holiday.Key Facts
- NOAA meteorologist Laura Ciasto said NOAA’s Week 3–4 outlook favors above-normal temperatures across the northern half of the country and California.
- AccuWeather expects generally dry, warm weather in the northern United States and some rain in the South during Thanksgiving week.
- NOAA said its models have not converged on a clear outlook for the South and Southeast.
- AccuWeather expects snow at higher elevations in the West.
- NOAA’s National Weather Service does not issue specific snowfall forecasts three to four weeks in advance.
- FOX Weather said El Niño generally does not favor widespread Thanksgiving snow, but a polar vortex disruption adds uncertainty.
- The article said these outlooks are not specific Thanksgiving Day forecasts, and conditions in individual cities should become clearer closer to November 26.
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac forecast rain and mild temperatures in the Northeast and snow in the Upper Midwest.
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