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How Far Will Gas Prices Fall? Analyst Makes Thanksgiving Prediction

How Far Will Gas Prices Fall? Analyst Makes Thanksgiving Prediction

Summary

GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan forecast that the national average price of regular gasoline would fall to $3.59–$3.69 per gallon by Thanksgiving, with diesel at $5.85–$5.95. He attributed seasonal declines mainly to cheaper winter-blend fuel and lower demand after summer, while the EIA projected higher average prices for 2027 than in its previous outlook.

Key Facts

  • De Haan said gas prices were $3.89 per gallon and diesel was $6.09 when he issued his Thanksgiving forecast.
  • AAA reported a national average gasoline price of $3.9081 per gallon on Thursday, down from $4.1003 a week earlier and $4.3556 a month earlier.
  • The national average remained above its year-earlier level of $3.0752 per gallon, according to AAA.
  • GasBuddy counted 32 states with average gas prices below $4 per gallon and said the total could rise to 35 the next day.
  • The EIA forecast average 2027 prices of $3.73 per gallon for gasoline and $5.03 for diesel, respectively 5 percent and 12 percent above its October forecasts.
  • The EIA said it expected global petroleum-product supply constraints to continue through the end of 2027.
  • AAA listed California and Hawaii as the states with the highest average prices, at $5.6349 and $5.6362 per gallon, respectively.
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