Will You See a White Christmas? How Major Forecasts Compare
Summary
Early outlooks point to the northern United States and western mountain areas as the likeliest places to have snow on the ground on Christmas morning. These are preliminary outlooks, while NOAA’s comparison map shows historical chances rather than a forecast for this Christmas.Key Facts
- The National Weather Service defines a white Christmas as at least one inch of snow on the ground on Christmas morning.
- The Farmers’ Almanac outlook favors northern and mountainous areas, including the Rocky Mountains, higher elevations in California, the northern Midwest, Great Lakes, and inland Northeast.
- The Farmers’ Almanac says a thaw or mild weather could melt snow or bring rain instead of snow.
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts a white Christmas in the Northeast, Intermountain West, and Alaska.
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac also lists chances in areas including the southern Appalachians, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, High Plains, and Pacific Northwest.
- NOAA’s map shows historical odds based on 1991–2020 U.S. climate normals, with higher chances in the northern Rockies, Upper Midwest, and interior Northeast.
- The provided content cuts off before giving The Weather Channel’s outlook.
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